Trump Closed to within Three Point on Clinton in Florida

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Donald Trump has closed to within three points of Hillary Clinton in what the Republican nominee has called the “must-win” state of Florida, according to a poll of 500 likely Florida voters conducted by the Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative.

Trump has cut in half Clinton’s six-point lead from FAU’s poll just two weeks earlier. Among likely voters in Florida, Clinton leads Trump 46 percent to 43 percent with 6 percent undecided.

As expected, Trump has a 17-point lead among white voters, 53 to 36 percent. Clinton has a 49-point lead among African Americans, 73 to 24 percent, and leads with Hispanics, 68 to 19 percent. Clinton is winning with Independents 50 to 34 percent.

In a sign of the Clinton campaign’s organizational strength, she leads among the 26 percent of respondents who said they already voted, 54 percent to 41 percent for Trump. Clinton also leads 49 to 40 percent among women voters. Trump leads among those who plan to vote on Election Day, however, 50 to 36 percent.

Both major party candidates continue to be underwater in terms of their favorability ratings, with Clinton at 44 percent favorable and 54 percent unfavorable, and Trump at 40 percent favorable and 57 percent unfavorable.

When asked if they believe that the winning candidate will win because more people voted for him or her, or because the election results are rigged, 68 percent said it would be because more people voted for the winner while 30 percent said it would be because the election results are rigged. Among Trump voters, 46 percent said it would be because more people voted for the winner while 41 percent said the results are rigged. Conversely, 91 percent of Clinton voters said it would be because more people voted for the winner and only 7 percent said it would be rigged.

The poll was conducted in both English and Spanish, and data was collected via Interactive Voice Response. The poll was conducted Oct. 21-23 and carries a +/- 4.3 percent margin of error and a 95 percent confidence level.

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